PENSIONS RETIREMENT BENEFIT ADMINISTRATION MONEY FINANCE AND ECONOMY
Tuesday, 2 February 2016
How to diversify your retirement income portfolio-By Steve Vernon
Many older workers and retirees are facing a "do-it-yourself"
retirement, where you're on your own to figure out how to use your
401(k) and IRA to generate a retirement paycheck that lasts for the rest
of your life. To meet this significant challenge, you might consider
constructing a diversified portfolio of retirement income that will
address your unique goals and circumstances.
You'll gain valuable insights about this strategy from a recent major study
that's a collaboration between the Stanford Center on Longevity (SCL)
and the Society of Actuaries (SOA). Full disclosure: I was a co-author
of this study, along with Wade Pfau and Joe Tomlinson.
The table below shows how various retirement income generators (RIGs) meet common retirement income planning goals. It's
important to point out that no single RIG that has "yes" answers to
every possible goal. Also, the "yes" and "no" answers for some RIGs tend
to complement each other, which is one reason to diversify your
retirement income to satisfy your unique goals and circumstances.
This
table is intended to illustrate broad concepts, and the above ratings
are generalizations. There can be exceptions to the ratings, and you
might have good reasons to disagree with some of the answers. For
example:
A systematic withdrawal program (SWP) with a very conservative withdrawal rate might have a good chance of lasting as long as you live.
A SWP invested entirely in government bonds (aka a "bond ladder") offers downside protection.
Work doesn't lend itself well to some of these goals and may present the most exceptions or disagreements.
Reverse
mortgages have a potential for a legacy only to the extent that the
value of the house exceeds the loan value when the home is eventually
sold.
In case you're wondering about some potentially questionable rankings regarding maximizing your income:
Annuities
rank "yes" to this goal because you spend all of your principal over
your lifetime. By contrast, with invested savings and rental property,
principal typically remains unused at your death.
Work ranks
"yes" to this goal because it gives you extra spending money and may
enable you to delay starting Social Security or drawing down on savings.
But a "no" answer would be reasonable as well.
The SCL/SOA
study shows how you can quantify the trade-off between these goals and
RIGs (although it didn't analyze working, rental income or reverse
mortgages). For example:
You might increase the amount of
your expected lifetime income by maximizing your Social Security
benefits or buying an annuity. But in the process, you'll reduce the
amount of savings you can access throughout your life.
You can
increase the amount of income you might expect over your lifetime by
raising the amount you invest in stocks, but you're more vulnerable to
equity market crashes. Investing more in bonds should provide some
downside protection but will reduce your expected lifetime income.
Here's one way to put all these ideas together:
Cover
your basic living expenses with a floor of guaranteed lifetime income
that you can't outlive and that won't decline when the stock market
crashes. Such sources include Social Security, annuities and potentially
bond ladders. These become the safe "bond" portion of your retirement
income portfolio.
Cover your discretionary living expenses from invested savings with a high allocation to stocks.
Work
just enough in your 60s and 70s to give you extra spending money, get
you out of the house, nurture social contacts and delay drawing down
Social Security and retirement savings as long as possible, up to age
70.
People who have the time, skill and temperament might
consider investing in real estate rental property to diversify their
income. Alternatively, real estate investment trusts (REITs) can be an
easier way to invest for income with real estate.
People with
low savings in 401(k) and IRAs but substantial home equity might explore
a reverse mortgage to boost their retirement income.
You
have a lot to consider regarding the task of generating a reliable,
retirement income that might need to last 20 to 30 years or more. The
SCL/SOA report can help you (or your advisor) build a diversified
retirement income portfolio that meets your unique goals and
circumstances. This will help you sleep better at night during your
retirement!
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