PENSIONS RETIREMENT BENEFIT ADMINISTRATION MONEY FINANCE AND ECONOMY
Monday, 8 February 2016
A new tool for retirees who expect to live long-By Steve Vernon
For many retirees, outliving their retirement income is a
worrisome possibility. But what can you do to avoid that undesirable
fate? Many financial commentators now advocate that you devote a portion
of your retirement income portfolio to deferred lifetime payout annuities that start at an advanced age, such as age 80 or 85.
Known as longevity annuities, they've received a boost from recent U.S. Treasury guidance
that defined "qualified longevity annuity contracts" and clarified how
they can be paid from IRAs and 401(k) accounts. In the process, the
Treasury coined a new acronym -- QLAC.
But before you rush out to
buy one, you need to do some homework to figure out if a QLAC is a good
idea for your retirement income portfolio. You can gain insights from a recent study
by the Stanford Center on Longevity (SCL), in collaboration with the
Society of Actuaries (SOA). (I was a co-author of it with Wade Pfau and
Joe Tomlinson.)
It turns out that there are a handful of
reasonable ways to use a QLAC in your retirement income portfolio, but
you need to be clear about your reasons. And it may be that using a QLAC
is easier said than done.
One strategy is to use a small portion
of your retirement savings, say 15 percent, to buy a QLAC starting at
age 85 to cover the possibility that you might live a long time. The
QLAC would then pay you for the rest of your life after age 85, no
matter how long you live. Until age 85, you'd invest and withdraw from
the rest of your savings, using a systematic withdrawal plan
(SWP). This would give you control over and access to that portion of
your savings, features that usually aren't available with traditional payout annuities.
The
SCL/SOA study looked at 36 possible integrated SWP/QLAC strategies and
compared them to more conventional retirement income strategies such as
stand-alone SWPs, stand-alone annuities and combinations of SWPs and
traditional annuities. The projections show that in some cases, it may
be possible to boost your expected lifetime retirement income from a
SWP/QLAC strategy. The challenge, however, is that these strategies
create the potential for a significant disruption in your income between
ages 84 and 85.
The chart below illustrates this challenge for
one particular strategy that devoted 15 percent of assets at age 65,
invested remaining assets 50 percent in stocks and withdrew from assets
each year in sufficient amounts to exhaust invested assets by age 85. It
projects the total annual amount of retirement income at each age
between age 65 and 95 including Social Security, income from the SWP
until age 85 and income from the QLAC after age 85.
The bold line
represents the expected economic scenario, the top lines represent
favorable economic scenarios and the bottom lines represent unfavorable
scenarios. For this particular strategy, retirement income drops
significantly under most scenarios at age 85. The SCL/SOA study shows
similar outcomes with other SWP/QLAC strategies. This
doesn't necessarily mean that such strategies are undesirable. One way
to respond to this potential is by making adjustments throughout
retirement in the withdrawal and investment strategy for the SWP so that
the income amounts line up better between ages 84 and 85. This requires
either a very informed and capable retiree, or the ongoing attention of
a qualified retirement advisor.
Here are the critical decisions that must be made for integrated SWP/QLAC strategies:
Determine the portion of initial assets devoted to the QLAC.
Develop
a SWP withdrawal and asset allocation approach that minimizes
disruptions in the amount of income between ages 84 and 85.
Decide
whether to purchase a QLAC that pays a death benefit before age 85,
which produces a lower retirement income compared to no death benefit.
These decisions show why such strategies might be easier said than done (you can try this online calculator to help you work through this challenge).
In addition to the integrated SWP/QLAC strategy, here are other possible uses of QLACs:
Some
retirees might want to define the absolute minimum amount of retirement
income they need at an advanced age as a form of insurance against
living a long time. They would then work or draw on financial assets
until that age and be willing to tolerate the potential disruption in
income at the advanced age.
Buy a QLAC with an earlier starting
age, such as 75, and work or deploy minimum required withdrawals from
savings until that age, or both.
Layer additional income from a
QLAC starting at age 80 or 85, to help pay for medical or long-term care
costs that typically increase at these ages.
QLACs are one
of the latest innovations in retirement income planning, but that
doesn't mean everybody needs one. Give careful consideration to how they
might be used successfully in your retirement income portfolio. If you
aren't comfortable making these analyses on your own, find a competent and unbiased financial advisor to help you.
No comments:
Post a Comment