The so-called "4 percent
rule," long considered a safe amount one should withdraw each year in
retirement, is now the subject of much debate. Some experts argue that
it is too high, while others say it is too low. Still, many financial
advisors say it is a good starting point for retirees to determine how much of their nest egg to spend on an annual basis.
Here's how the 4 percent rule works :
"One could withdraw 4 percent of his or her retirement-date portfolio
value, adjust this amount for inflation in subsequent years and sustain
withdrawals over 30 years using a diversified portfolio with 50 percent
to 75 percent stocks," says Peter Mallouk, president and chief
investment officer of Leawood, Kansas-based Creative Planning, an
independent wealth management firm.
Financial
advisors say the rule can be a good starting point. "Just like an
airline pilot has a flight plan that he or she is to follow when
starting out, retirees need a retirement cash-flow plan for their future
when embarking on the next phase of their lives," says Joe Franklin,
president of Franklin Wealth Management, a financial services firm based
in Hixson, Tennessee. "In both cases, course corrections are going to
be needed based upon turbulence, storms, unforeseen emergencies and many
other factors. A plan that factors in these types of issues is going to
work better over time."
There are several important variables
retirees need to understand about the 4 percent rule, and a few
adjustments they can make to meet their needs, experts say.
Don't convert savings to all bonds and CDs. As you hit retirement age and begin taking withdrawals, it is important to maintain a diversified portfolio
and keep some of your assets in stocks to generate enough gains to keep
your assets growing. "If you have a well-diversified portfolio with a
heavy equity exposure, you should see annual returns of 6 percent, 7
percent or more," says Travis Sollinger, director of financial planning
at Fort Pitt Capital Group, a Pittsburgh-based investment management
firm. "The reason the 4 percent rule can work is if you average 6
percent on your money and are only taking out 4 percent, you still
should see modest growth in your portfolio."
If you have a 60-40
split between stocks and bonds in your portfolio, he advises maintaining
that allocation because "your years in retirement will still be
significant."
Diversify internationally to boost returns and decrease risk. Many advisors suggest maintaining an allocation to international stocks
to add diversification and potentially boost returns. "The [4 percent]
rule assumes only a few asset classes are used in a client portfolio ...
we believe using a globally diversified portfolio can potentially
produce a return and risk characteristics that support a higher
withdrawal rate," Mallouk says.
Don't overspend in good years.
Stock market cycles mean some years produce outsized returns, while
other years yield paltry gains. In the years when the market posts
significant returns, retirees should stick to their plan and try not to
splurge. "If your account is up 20 percent, the tendency is to say, 'I
don't want to limit myself to 4 percent. I can take 10 percent.' You
have to maintain discipline," Sollinger says.
Stay the course in bad years. Consider
using a "bucket" approach to investing, and set aside enough cash to
cover your bills for one and a half to two years. Keeping some money in
safe investments such as short-term CDs can help you manage your fears
about losing too much in bear markets. "Put these assets into something
where there is no risk at all. These are short-term investments to get
you through the rough times. Don't freak out, don't change your
allocation, don't move away from your plan," Sollinger says.
Consider additional retirement income strategies. Future health care costs
are a big unknown in retirement, which means retirees should add other
income streams to the mix. A 65-year-old couple may need an average of
$220,000 to cover medical expenses throughout retirement, according to a
2014 estimate from Fidelity Benefits Consulting.
"Medicare
supplements and long-term care insurance can help those that have not
saved as much as others," Franklin says, adding that Social Security
income can help provide "more certainty to the retirement income
picture."
"Many who want
additional certainty look to private pensions or retirement income
strategies where some of the income is guaranteed over their lifetime by
insurance companies. Many of these currently guarantee lifetime income
over 4 percent," he says.
Tap a financial advisor for guidance. A financial advisor
can assist you through this process and help determine a withdrawal
strategy that works for you. "A financial planner is going to know the
questions you should be asking but don't know to ask. He or she is
likely to have seen retirees make many mistakes in the past and can help
guide you away from making these mistakes yourself," Franklin says.
He
adds: "A good financial planner knows the common pitfalls to avoid and
can help guide clients toward the correct path, even if it is not a
popular one."
Culled from US News
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