Retirement statistics | iStock.com
It’s time for Americans to face the reality of
retirement planning,
especially younger Americans. Considering that defined benefit plans
are moving closer to full extinction each year, it’s now more important
than ever for individuals to save for retirement. This is not always an
easy process, but you can improve your odds of an ideal retirement by
educating yourself and planning for it as soon as possible.
Millions of Americans are worried about their so-called
golden years — with good reason. According to Bankrate.com, 28% of Americans say high medical bills are their
top financial concern about retirement.
Making matters worse, higher income provides little comfort. Households
making more than $75,000 are actually more worried about medical
expenses than the overall population. Meanwhile, 23% of Americans say
running out of savings is their biggest financial concern, followed by
18% who say unaffordable daily expenses. Eleven percent of Americans are
most worried about having too much debt in retirement.
With stagnant wages, rising living expenses, and an overall sluggish
labor market, numerous obstacles face workers trying to save for
retirement, but no one cares about your financial future as much as you.
Let’s take a look at 10 charts that are crucial to the retirement
planning process.
1. Savings rate
Personal savings | J.P. Morgan
Americans are not known for their prudent saving habits. If anything,
we’re renowned for being the largest consumer market in the world. We
work hard to buy things we don’t really need. When we can’t afford
something, we simply use debt to achieve instant gratification,
prolonging the cycle of poor savings.
As the chart above shows, the national savings rate has mostly
declined for about the past 40 years. In 2014, the rate reached a dismal
4.8%, compared to a long-term average of 8.4%. The rate rebounded in a
slightly less dismal 5.5% in 2015. J.P. Morgan finds that an alarming
number of people are not even interested in saving. In 2015, only 48%
had tried to calculate how much money they would actually need to save
for retirement.
2. Life expectancy
Life expectancy | J.P. Morgan
As you near the typical retirement age, the probability of you living
for another decade or two is remarkably high. Men age 65 today have a
79% chance of living another 10 years, while women have an 85% chance.
The odds of a long life increase dramatically for couples.
In fact, couples age 65 today have an astounding 97% chance that at
least one of them lives another 10 years and an 90% chance that one
experiences their 80-year birthday. It almost comes down to a coin flip
that at least one person in the relationship lives to 90.
In short, you should plan on living to at least 90 years old or
perhaps even longer, depending on your family history. While more people
are working beyond the age of 65, that doesn’t mean you should assume
you will be able to do so. J.P. Morgan finds that 67% of employed
Americans plan to work beyond age 65, but only 23% of actual retirees
did, citing health problems and employer issues.
3. Health care
Retirement work | J.P. Morgan
Living longer has a hefty price. More Americans are expected to stay
in the workforce in order to compensate for increased lifespans and
expenses. Using data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, JP Morgan
estimates that 23% of the civilian labor force in 2024 will be made up
of people in their early 70s, nearly double the amount in 1994. Fourteen
percent of workers are expected to be 75 to 79 years old, compared to
only 7% in 1994. As the chart above shows, 25% of working retirees stay
on the clock to make ends meet, while 23% do so to keep insurance or
benefits.
How much might you spend on health care in retirement? A Fidelity
analysis
estimates a 65-year-old couple retiring in 2016 will need $260,000 to
cover health care costs in retirement, excluding long-term care
insurance. That’s up 6% from the $245,000 estimated for a couple
retiring in 2015. The estimate applies to retirees with traditional
Medicare insurance coverage and provides a general idea of the monthly
expenses associated with Medicare premiums, Medicare co-payments and
deductibles, and prescription drug out-of-pocket expenses.
4. Saving early
Save early for retirement | J.P. Morgan
We’ve all heard it before: You need to start saving for retirement as
soon as possible. It’s a simple concept, but many people fail to
understand the long-term effects of saving and investing early. As the
chart above shows, a person who invests $5,000 annually between the ages
of 25 and 35 will have an estimated $563,000 at age 65, assuming a 7%
annual return. In comparison, a person who invests $5,000 between the
ages of 35 and 65 will have about $58,000 less.
Market returns are not guaranteed and are certainly more volatile
than 7% each year, but the math shows the benefits of compounding
returns. The earlier you start, the better your chances of reaching your
financial goals. Your chances also improve if you start early and keep a
consistent pace. A person who invests $5,000 annually between the ages
of 25 and 65 could accumulate more than $1 million for retirement.
5. Spending habits
Retirement spending habits | J.P. Morgan
Predicting your exact income needs for retirement decades in advance
is impossible. Nonetheless, you should recognize that you may have more
expenses than you think. On average, American household spending peaks
at age of 45. However, as the chart above shows, there are still
significant costs after the peak and during retirement.
The average spending for 65- to 74-year-olds totals $47,383 per year —
not exactly chump change. If you’re 35 today, imagine how much you’ll
be spending in 30 years due to inflation. If you plan on traveling in
retirement, your costs could be even higher. Additionally,
healthcare is the one category of spending
that fails to log a decrease. If you invest in nothing else for
retirement, at least invest in your health. Eliminating mortgage debt
and making sure your house fits your actual needs is also helpful in
reducing retirement expenses, as housing-related costs represented the
largest portion of spending among all age groups.
6. Nursing home expenses
Nursing home expenses | J.P. Morgan
One of the most overlooked retirement costs (it’ll-never-happen-to-me
syndrome) may also be one of the most expensive. J.P. Morgan finds that
the cost of a private room nursing care facility for one year can vary
from $80,000 to over $120,000, depending on where you live. However, a
majority of Americans underestimate the costs of nursing home care and
are neglecting the need to save for it.
Nearly 57% of Americans believe a year in a
nursing home will cost
them less than $75,000, according to a recent survey by MoneyRates.com.
A study by MetLife finds that even semi-private rooms cost an average
of $81,030 per year. Furthermore, the average cost of a semi-private
room in the New York City area is $141,620, which is 75% higher than the
national average. In contrast, Louisiana, Alabama, Oklahoma, and
Missouri offer some of the cheapest long-term care services in the
country.
7. Social Security
Social Security | J.P. Morgan
If you can, delaying Social Security benefits may help you achieve a
more secure retirement. The top graphic illustrates how people born 1943
to 1954 can receive 32% more in a benefit check by waiting until age 70
to claim Social Security, compared to the full retirement age of 66. At
age 62, beneficiaries receive only 75% of what they would get if they
waited until age 66. The bottom graphic shows the trade-offs for younger
individuals, which penalizes early claiming by offering 70% of benefits
at age 62. Delaying benefits until age 70 results in 24% more benefits
than full retirement age 67.
If you have a health problem or family history indicating you will
not live for decades beyond age 62, you may want to claim Social
Security as soon as possible so that you have time to enjoy the fruits
of your labor. On the other hand, if your health and finances are
stable, you may want to wait. The Social Security Administration now
offers online accounts so that Americans can
stay up to date on their financial situations.
8. Investing
Investment growth | J.P. Morgan
Due to inflation eroding the value of money, it’s not enough to
simply let your savings sit in cash. One dollar invested in Treasury
bills in 1950 would have only grown to $16 in 2015. However, that same
dollar invested in large-cap stocks would have grown to $1,116, while
small-cap stocks would have grown that dollar into $4,227. There are
certainly other investment choices than stocks, but this illustration
reminds investors that cash is a terrible wealth generator over the long
term.
Warren Buffett once explained how investors
should view cash. He said:
“The one thing I will tell you is the worst investment
you can have is cash. Everybody is talking about cash being king and all
that sort of thing. Cash is going to become worth less over time. But
good businesses are going to become worth more over time. And you don’t
want to pay too much for them so you have to have some discipline about
what you pay. But the thing to do is find a good business and stick with
it. We always keep enough cash around so I feel very comfortable and
don’t worry about sleeping at night. But it’s not because I like cash as
an investment. Cash is a bad investment over time. But you always want
to have enough so that nobody else can determine your future
essentially.”
9. Market timing
Market timing | J.P. Morgan
Unless you’re a day trader, you should not be trying to time the
market. With the rise of smartphones and tablets, investors are
constantly plugged into financial markets, but that doesn’t mean you
should always be doing something with your portfolio. The average Joe is
typically better off with a diversified portfolio built for the long
term. Trying to time the market can be disastrous, especially when it
comes to stocks and your retirement.
As the chart above shows, $10,000 invested between January 2, 1996,
and December 31, 2015, would have grown to $48,230 if it was constantly
invested in the S&P 500. If you missed the 10 best days during that
period, the investment would have grown to only $24,070, just less than
half of the amount if you simply left the money untouched. Critics
rightly point out that missing the worst days in the market is even
better for a portfolio, but that is a dangerous strategy for most
investors.
Even if you rightly time the market and avoid the worst days, you are
then left with the agonizing decision of when to get back into the
market. You need to know yourself and your limitations when investing.
Six of the 10 best days during the stated time period occurred within
two weeks of the 10 worst days. The market is like a seesaw in the
short-term, but becomes more stable through diversification and time.
10. Early withdrawals from retirement accounts
401(k) early withdrawals | J.P. Morgan
Life happens. You may have a personal financial crisis hit you so
hard that the only place to lick your wounds is your retirement account.
However, if at all possible, you should probably avoid pulling money
from your retirement account before you do indeed retire. The chart
above shows how costly it can be to take money from a 401(k). Three
$10,000 loans throughout your working career could potentially cost you
more than half a million dollars, or 30% of your portfolio! That’s based
on several assumptions, like a 60/40 portfolio, but the lesson is the
same. Your money and financial future stands to benefit from compounding
returns if it’s invested constantly, and not being pulled out ahead of
schedule. Regularly contributing to a retirement plan as early as
possible can also amount to significant nest eggs.
Culled from Money & Career Cheat Sheet